Prioritization of Renewable Energy Alternatives for China by Using a Hybrid FMCDM Methodology with Uncertain Information

被引:15
|
作者
Niu, Dongxiao [1 ,2 ]
Zhen, Hao [1 ,2 ]
Yu, Min [1 ,2 ]
Wang, Keke [1 ,2 ]
Sun, Lijie [1 ,2 ]
Xu, Xiaomin [1 ]
机构
[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
[2] North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
关键词
renewable energy; FMCDM; fuzzy ELECTRE; energy planning; ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS; DECISION-MAKING MCDM; ELECTRICITY-GENERATION; MULTICRITERIA ANALYSIS; PRESENT SITUATION; FUTURE PROSPECT; SELECTION; TECHNOLOGIES; PROJECTS; MODEL;
D O I
10.3390/su12114649
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
With the deteriorating ecological environment and increasing energy consumption, developing clean and renewable energy sources has become a key measure to solve environmental problems and energy shortages. The multicriteria decision-making (MCDM) technique is widely used in the assessment of renewable energy alternatives (REA) to determine the most sustainable and appropriate option for a country or region. Classic REA ranking is conducted in a deterministic environment through MCDM techniques. However, with the increasing complexity of environmental and energy issues, the REA ranking method is unsuitable for use in today's China. Therefore, in this paper, a fuzzy MCDM technique based on the interval-valued hesitant fuzzy elimination and choice expressing reality (IVHF-ELECTRE II) method, taking into account the uncertainty and ambiguity of the information, is proposed for REA ranking. A case study in China is conducted to elaborate on the rationality and feasibility of the proposed framework. According to the ranking results, hydro is determined as the best REA in China, followed by wind energy, solar photovoltaic, geothermal, biomass energy, and solar thermal. This research provides a feasible method and insightful reference for national decision-makers to utilize when evaluating the REA and establishing a macroplanning policy for renewable energy under an uncertain environment.
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页数:25
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