An impossibility theorem for amalgamating evidence

被引:12
|
作者
Stegenga, Jacob [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Philosophy, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
关键词
Evidence; Arrow's theorem; Amalgamating evidence; Confirmation; BAYESIAN CONFIRMATION; AUXILIARY HYPOTHESES; THEORY CHOICE; STREVENS;
D O I
10.1007/s11229-011-9973-x
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
Amalgamating evidence of different kinds for the same hypothesis into an overall confirmation is analogous, I argue, to amalgamating individuals' preferences into a group preference. The latter faces well-known impossibility theorems, most famously "Arrow's Theorem". Once the analogy between amalgamating evidence and amalgamating preferences is tight, it is obvious that amalgamating evidence might face a theorem similar to Arrow's. I prove that this is so, and end by discussing the plausibility of the axioms required for the theorem.
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页码:2391 / 2411
页数:21
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