A predictive evolution model of rocky coasts

The recession of coastal cliffs is a widespread phenomenon on the rocky shores that are exposed to the combined incidence of marine and meteorological processes that occur in the shoreline. This phenomenon is revealed violently and occasionally as gravitational movements of the ground and can cause material or human losses. Their prediction is difficult; however it is basic for the proper coastal management and the clear understanding of erosion risks. There are several models of the coastal cliff recession processes. From the stochastic type models based on historical erosion events, to the theoretical models as described by Eikonal or Boussinesq equations. In this work an intermediate solution is adopted (process-response model), such as models based on simplified balance of forces as trigger mechanisms involved in the erosion of the rocks. This model fits the marine dynamics: sea level changes, tidal range and wave transformation; along with the evolution of the land: the slope of the surf zone, erosion and rock falls. So far these models have been limited to small slope cliffs, since its numerical stability and the propagation of errors are unknowns. For these reasons, the development of a generic model that reproduces the spatial and temporal evolution of a cliff-2D profile (platform, beach and slope) consisting on semi-consolidated heterogeneous materials, is presented. In addition, the computational implementation, the study of different numerical resolution techniques and the produced errors, are also exposed and analysed. (C) 2010 CIMNE (Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya). Published by Elsevier Espana, S.L. All rights reserved.