Modeling cascading failures in 'systems of systems' with uncertain behavior

被引：0
|
作者：
Zio, E. [1 ,2 ]
Sansavini, G. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Ecole Cent Paris & Supelec, Paris, France
[2] Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, Milan, Italy
来源：
APPLICATIONS OF STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY IN CIVIL ENGINEERING | 2011年
关键词：
CENTRALITY;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号：
0813 ;
摘要：
We model cascading failures in interdependent Critical Infrastructures (CIs). We adopt a modeling framework based on simulation, which accounts for the physical specialization of the components and their interdependencies. We analyze cascading failures triggered by the intentional removal of a single component in the CIs and study the influence of the systems operating safety margins and interdependency parameters on the consequences of the cascade. Uncertainties in the model parameters are propagated, within a probabilistic representation framework.
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页码：1858 / 1866
页数：9
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