Logistics Demand Forecast Model for Port Import and Export in Coastal Area

被引:2
|
作者
Yang, Dongning [1 ]
机构
[1] Zhejiang Univ Technol, Sch Econ, Hangzhou 310023, Peoples R China
关键词
Coastal area; import and export logistics; demand forecasting model; BP neural network;
D O I
10.2112/SI103-138.1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Port logistics has become one of the main logistics modes. In order to ensure the stability of its development, logistics demand forecasting model is often used to predict port logistics, but the forecasting error is large. Therefore, the coastal port import and export logistics demand forecasting model is designed. This paper analyzes the influencing factors of port import and export logistics demand, obtains the forecast index of port import and export logistics demand, and realizes port import and export logistics demand forecast by using BP neural network. So far, the coastal port import and export logistics demand forecasting model has been constructed. The experimental results show that the error between the prediction results of this model and the actual results is smaller, and the error between the prediction results of the original model and the actual results is larger. Thus, the coastal port import and export logistics demand forecasting model is more accurate, the use of better results.
引用
收藏
页码:678 / 681
页数:4
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