Logistics Demand Forecast Model for Port Import and Export in Coastal Area

被引:2
|
作者
Yang, Dongning [1 ]
机构
[1] Zhejiang Univ Technol, Sch Econ, Hangzhou 310023, Peoples R China
关键词
Coastal area; import and export logistics; demand forecasting model; BP neural network;
D O I
10.2112/SI103-138.1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Port logistics has become one of the main logistics modes. In order to ensure the stability of its development, logistics demand forecasting model is often used to predict port logistics, but the forecasting error is large. Therefore, the coastal port import and export logistics demand forecasting model is designed. This paper analyzes the influencing factors of port import and export logistics demand, obtains the forecast index of port import and export logistics demand, and realizes port import and export logistics demand forecast by using BP neural network. So far, the coastal port import and export logistics demand forecasting model has been constructed. The experimental results show that the error between the prediction results of this model and the actual results is smaller, and the error between the prediction results of the original model and the actual results is larger. Thus, the coastal port import and export logistics demand forecasting model is more accurate, the use of better results.
引用
收藏
页码:678 / 681
页数:4
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Research on Logistics Demand Forecast of Port Based on Combined Model
    Yan, Peng
    Zhang, Lin
    Feng, Zhiyun
    Zhang, Jing
    [J]. 2018 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER INFORMATION SCIENCE AND APPLICATION TECHNOLOGY, 2019, 1168
  • [2] AN ADJUSTMENT-COSTS MODEL OF EXPORT SUPPLY AND IMPORT DEMAND
    LAWRENCE, D
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1990, 46 (03) : 381 - 398
  • [3] AN AGGREGATOR MODEL OF CANADIAN EXPORT SUPPLY AND IMPORT DEMAND RESPONSIVENESS
    LAWRENCE, D
    [J]. CANADIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS-REVUE CANADIENNE D ECONOMIQUE, 1989, 22 (03): : 503 - 521
  • [4] AN AGGREGATE TRANSPORT DEMAND MODEL FOR IMPORT AND EXPORT FLOW SIMULATION
    Nuzzolo, Agostino
    Crisalli, Umberto
    Comi, Antonio
    [J]. TRANSPORT, 2015, 30 (01) : 43 - 54
  • [5] Export structure, import demand elasticity and export stability
    Zhou, Hua
    Fan, Jiachen
    [J]. WORLD ECONOMY, 2023, 46 (03): : 758 - 790
  • [6] IMPORT AND EXPORT DEMAND IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
    KHAN, MS
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND STAFF PAPERS, 1974, 21 (03): : 678 - 693
  • [7] Coal logistics demand forecast based on an integrated prediction model
    Pan, Yanfang
    Liu, Enyou
    [J]. ENERGY SCIENCE AND APPLIED TECHNOLOGY (ESAT 2016), 2016, : 533 - 536
  • [8] Logistics Demand Forecast Based On Synthetic Integrated Grey Model
    Hui, Hongqi
    Zhou, Lei
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF 2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF MANAGEMENT ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, VOLS 1 AND 2, 2009, : 610 - 613
  • [9] Application Research of the Grey Forecast in the Logistics Demand Forecast
    Jiang Hua
    Liang Qi-hong
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE FIRST INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY AND COMPUTER SCIENCE, VOL I, 2009, : 361 - +
  • [10] Forecast and Analysis of the Logistics Demand in Nanjing
    Chen, Yan
    Qiu, Yanyun
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENGINEERING AND BUSINESS MANAGEMENT (EBM2011), VOLS 1-6, 2011, : 1076 - +