Towards the qualitative, plan-based simulation of international crises

被引：1

作者：

Balzer, W

Sander, J

机构：

[1] Univ Munich, Inst Philosophie Log & Wissensch Theorie, D-80539 Munich, Germany

[2] Univ Munich, Inst Informat, D-80538 Munich, Germany

来源：

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH | 1999年 / 116卷 / 03期

关键词：

algorithm; international crises; qualitative plan-based model;

D O I：

10.1016/S0377-2217(98)00225-2

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

We describe an algorithm for the calculation of whether a given state is the origin of a crisis or not. The algorithm is based on a qualitative, plan-based model of crises described by Baiter, W., 1996 (in: Huber, R.K., Avenhaus, R. (Eds.), Models for Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era. Nomos, Baden-Baden, pp. 233-252) which is outlined as far as necessary. The algorithm is intended to serve as a basis for implementation In the final part of the paper, we discuss perspectives and problems of the implementation of simulation- and support programs for international crises. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：461 / 476

页数：16

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