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Qualitative analysis of a class of SISM epidemic model influenced by media publicity
被引:2
|作者:
Li, Dongmei
[1
]
Chai, Bing
[1
]
Liu, Weihua
[1
]
Wen, Panpan
[1
]
Zhang, Ruixue
[1
]
机构:
[1] Harbin Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Sci, Harbin 150080, Peoples R China
关键词:
SISM model;
time delay;
Hopf bifurcation;
numerical simulation;
AWARENESS PROGRAMS;
TRANSMISSION;
OUTBREAKS;
DISEASE;
SPREAD;
D O I:
10.3934/mbe.2020308
中图分类号:
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
Considering the influence of media lagging publicity on the awareness rate of epidemic situation, this paper introduces the accumulation of epidemic awareness variables, establishes the SISM infectious disease model influenced by media publicity, and gives the sufficient conditions for the global asymptotic stability of the model disease-free equilibrium, the stability of the endemic disease equilibrium and the existence of the Hopf bifurcation. The variation trend of different effects of delayed media publicity on the outbreak is simulated. Based on the data of A (H1N1), the interference degree of the parameters in the model is analyzed. The results show that shortening the lag time of the media report and increasing the implementation rate and the transfer rate of media propaganda can effectively control the epidemic and gradually end the epidemic.
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页码:5727 / 5751
页数:25
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