Antecedents of war: the geopolitics of low oil prices and decelerating financial liquidity

被引：26
|
作者：
Abdel-Latif, Hany [1 ]
El-Gamal, Mahmoud [2 ]
机构：
[1] Swansea Univ, Econ Dept, Bay Campus,Fabian Way, Swansea SA1 8EN, W Glam, Wales
[2] Rice Univ, Houston, TX USA
来源：
APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS | 2019年 / 26卷 / 09期
关键词：
Geopolitics; global liquidity; oil prices; global VAR; UNCERTAINTY;
D O I：
10.1080/13504851.2018.1494802
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector autoregressive model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator.
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页码：765 / 769
页数：5
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