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Antecedents of war: the geopolitics of low oil prices and decelerating financial liquidity
被引:26
|作者:
Abdel-Latif, Hany
[1
]
El-Gamal, Mahmoud
[2
]
机构:
[1] Swansea Univ, Econ Dept, Bay Campus,Fabian Way, Swansea SA1 8EN, W Glam, Wales
[2] Rice Univ, Houston, TX USA
关键词:
Geopolitics;
global liquidity;
oil prices;
global VAR;
UNCERTAINTY;
D O I:
10.1080/13504851.2018.1494802
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector autoregressive model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator.
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页码:765 / 769
页数:5
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