Detection of recent regional sea surface temperature warming in the Caribbean and surrounding region

被引：43

作者：

Glenn, Equisha ^{[1
]}

Comarazamy, Daniel ^{[2
]}

Gonzalez, Jorge E. ^{[3
,4
]}

Smith, Thomas ^{[5
,6
]}

机构：

[1] CUNY City Coll, NOAA CREST, ESES, New York, NY 10031 USA

[2] NOAA, NESDIS, STAR, SOCD, College Pk, MD USA

[3] CUNY City Coll, NOAA CREST, New York, NY 10031 USA

[4] CUNY City Coll, Dept Mech Engn, New York, NY 10031 USA

[5] Univ Maryland, NOAA, STAR, SCSB, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

[6] Univ Maryland, CICS, ESSIC, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2015年 / 42卷 / 16期

关键词：

INTRA-AMERICA SEA; LOW-LEVEL JET; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; TROPICAL ATLANTIC; MIDSUMMER DROUGHT; RAINFALL; PRECIPITATION; CLIMATE; ANOMALIES; EXTREMES;

D O I：

10.1002/2015GL065002

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

We show a sea surface temperature (SST) warming trend for the Caribbean and surrounding region over 1982-2012. Using an optimum interpolated SST product, a 30 year climatological analysis was generated to observe annual, monthly, and seasonal trends. Results show that SSTs are increasing annually for the region. For the two Caribbean rainy seasons, the Early Rainfall Season (ERS) and the Late Rainfall Season (LRS), estimated trends at 0.0161 degrees C yr(-1) and 0.0209 degrees C yr(-1) were observed, with high statistical significance. Subregional analysis revealed that warming is greatest in the Gulf of Mexico and north of South America during the ERS and LRS. Additionally, LRS averages for 1998-2012 reflect an increase in magnitude and intensity of the Atlantic Warm Pool (AWP) since the 1983-1997 period reflected in the AWP Area Index. Extreme increases/decreases in the time series show potential correlation with El Nino and the Southern Oscillation.

引用

页码：6785 / 6792

页数：8

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