Distribution Shift for Wind Power Development in China: Strategy Analysis

被引：3

作者：

Tan, Zhongfu ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Chen ^{[1
]}

Song, Yihang ^{[1
]}

Shen, Si ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

来源：

JOURNAL OF ENERGY ENGINEERING | 2015年 / 141卷 / 03期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

China; Investment in wind power; Economic benefit risk; Resource area shift;

D O I：

10.1061/(ASCE)EY.1943-7897.0000164

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

With regard to the risks of investment planning during the construction process of wind power projects, this paper introduces the income risks of investment planning for wind power, analyzing wind power's investment income through the establishment of a benefit-risk evaluation model. In accordance with China's current wind power investment, this paper calculates the wind power benefit risk of different resource areas, taking the price risk, risk of project cost, and risk of abandoned wind as analysis factors. By comparative analysis of the economic benefits of each resource area, the economic benefits of investment in a wind power project in resource areas 3 and 4 are better than resource areas 1 and 2. Simultaneously, taking into account the future wind power project's cost trends and China's wind power investment planning trends, the writers suggest that China's wind power project investment focus should shift from resource areas 1 and 2 to resource areas 3 and 4. (C) 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers.

引用

页数：7

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