Probabilistic risk analysis and game theory

被引：78
|
作者：
Hausken, K [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Stavanger, Sch Econ Culture & Social Sci, N-4091 Stavanger, Norway
来源：
RISK ANALYSIS | 2002年 / 22卷 / 01期
关键词：
Probabilistic Risk Analysis PRA; risk; game theory; reliability; public goods conflict;
D O I：
10.1111/0272-4332.t01-1-00002
中图分类号：
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号：
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要：
The behavioral dimension matters in Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA) since players throughout a system incur costs to increase system reliability interpreted as a public good. Individual strategies at the subsystem level generally conflict with collective desires at the system level. Game theory, the natural tool to analyze individual-collective conflicts that affect risk. is integrated into PRA. Conflicts arise in series, parallel. and summation systems over which player(s) prefer(s) to incur the cost of risk reduction. Frequently, the series, parallel. and summation systems correspond to the four most common games in game theory, i.e., the coordination game, the battle of the sexes and the chicken game, and prisoner's dilemma, respectively.
引用
收藏
页码：17 / 27
页数：11
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