Forecast Model of Water Consumption for Naples

被引：5
|
作者：
Molino, B. [1 ]
Rasulo, G. [2 ]
Taglialatela, L. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Basilicata, Inst Hydraul Construct, I-85100 Potenza, Italy
[2] Univ Naples Federico II, Dept Hydraul, I-80125 Naples, Italy
来源：
WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT | 1996年 / 10卷 / 04期
关键词：
Forecast model; monthly peak coefficients; daily peak coefficients;
D O I：
10.1007/BF00508899
中图分类号：
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号：
0813 ;
摘要：
The data refer to the monthly water consumption in the Neapolitan area over more than a 30 year period. The model proposed makes it possible to separate the trend in the water consumption time series from the seasonal fluctuation characterized by monthly peak coefficients with residual component. An ARMA (1, 1) model has been used to fit the residual component process. Furthermore, the availability of daily water consumption data for a three-year period allows the calculation of the daily peak coefficients for each month, and makes it possible to determine future water demand on the day of peak water consumption.
引用
收藏
页码：321 / 332
页数：12
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