On the value of reanalyses prior to 1979 for dynamical studies of stratosphere-troposphere coupling

被引:16
|
作者
Hitchcock, Peter [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Ecole Polytech, Lab Meteorol Dynam, Palaiseau, France
[2] Cornell Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
关键词
INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; DOWNWARD INFLUENCE; SUDDEN WARMINGS; HEMISPHERE; CLIMATOLOGY; UNCERTAINTY; WELL;
D O I
10.5194/acp-19-2749-2019
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Studies of stratosphere-troposphere coupling, particularly those seeking to understand the dynamical processes underlying the coupling following extreme events such as major stratospheric warmings, suffer significantly from the relatively small number of such events in the "satellite" era (1979 to present). This limited sampling of a highly variable dynamical system means that composite averages tend to have large uncertainties. Including years during which radiosonde observations of the stratosphere were of sufficiently high quality substantially extends this record, reducing this sampling uncertainty by up to 20 %. Moreover, many open questions in this field involve aspects of tropospheric dynamics likely to be better constrained by "conventional" (i.e. radiosonde and surface-based) observations. Based on an intercomparison of reanalyses, a quantitative case is made that for many purposes the improved sampling obtained by including this period outweighs the reduced precision of the reanalyses in the Northern Hemisphere. Studies of stratosphere-troposphere coupling should therefore consider the use of this period when using reanalysis data. These results also support continued attention on this period from centres producing reanalyses.
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页码:2749 / 2764
页数:16
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