Multiple effects of self-protection on the spreading of epidemics

被引:33
|
作者
Wang, Zhigang [1 ]
Zhang, Haifeng [2 ]
Wang, Zhen [3 ,4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Fuyang Teachers Coll, Sch Math & Computat Sci, Fuyang 236029, Peoples R China
[2] Anhui Univ, Sch Math Sci, Hefei 230039, Peoples R China
[3] Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Phys, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[4] Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Ctr Nonlinear Studies, Being Hong Kong Singapore Joint Ctr Nonlinear & C, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[5] Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Inst Computat & Theoret Studies, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
VACCINATION; DYNAMICS; BEHAVIOR; IMPACT; TRANSMISSION; INFORMATION; RESPONSES;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2014.01.004
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Aside from the commonly considered strategies: vaccination or risk, in this work another basic policy self-protection strategy is incorporated into research of epidemics spreading. Then within the network-theoretical framework, we mainly explore the impact of self-protection strategy on the epidemic size and the eradication of infection. Interestingly, we find that the self-protection influence is multiple: given that the effectiveness of the self-protective strategy is negligible, nobody is willing to take up this act, both vaccination and risk traits dominate the whole system; On the contrary, when the effectiveness of self-protective policy is elevated, it becomes a popular strategy and the size of epidemic can be controlled at a relatively low level. However, one worse situation is present as well: when the effectiveness of self-protection is moderate, the infection probability and epidemic size can reach the maximal level. This is because that, under such a case, the emergence of the selfprotective strategy neither inspires the enthusiasm of vaccination nor provides ideal effect. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 7
页数:7
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