On the Estimation of Natural and Anthropogenic Trends in Climate Records

被引：7

作者：

Lennartz, S. ^{[1
]}

Bunde, A. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Edinburgh, Sch Engn, Edinburgh EH9 3JL, Midlothian, Scotland

来源：

EXTREME EVENTS AND NATURAL HAZARDS: THE COMPLEXITY PERSPECTIVE | 2012年 / 196卷

关键词：

LONG-TERM PERSISTENCE; RIVER RUNOFF RECORDS; AFFINE TIME-SERIES; FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS; MULTIFRACTALITY; PRECIPITATION; VOLATILITY; MAGNITUDE; SPECTRA; SLEEP;

D O I：

10.1029/2011GM001079

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

This chapter focuses on data that exhibit long-term memory and, in addition, may be influenced by external deterministic trends. Examples for data with long-term memory are temperature and river runoff records, and deterministic trends may be caused by the increased emissions of greenhouse gases or increased urbanization, leading to global or urban warming. We show how long-term correlations can be quantified in the presence of external trends and to which extent external (approximately linear) trends can be detected in the presence of long-term memory.

引用

页码：177 / +

页数：3

共 50 条

[41] Attributing observed Greenland responses to natural and anthropogenic climate forcings
Andres, Heather J.
Peltier, W. R.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2015, 45 (9-10) : 2919 - 2936
[42] Role of natural and anthropogenic factors in global and regional climate transformations
Kovalenko, VA
Zherebtsov, GA
NINTH JOINT INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEAN OPTICS/ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, PT II: LASER SENSING AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, 2003, 5027 : 201 - 206
[43] Natural aerosol-climate feedbacks suppressed by anthropogenic aerosol
Spracklen, D. V.
Rap, A.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2013, 40 (19) : 5316 - 5319
[44] Evapotranspiration Trends and Interactions in Light of the Anthropogenic Footprint and the Climate Crisis: A Review
Dimitriadou, Stavroula
Nikolakopoulos, Konstantinos G.
HYDROLOGY, 2021, 8 (04)
[45] Can reanalysis have anthropogenic climate trends without model forcing?
Cai, M
Kalnay, E
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2005, 18 (11) : 1844 - 1849
[46] Natural versus anthropogenic climate change: Swedish farmers' joint construction of climate perceptions
Asplund, Therese
PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF SCIENCE, 2016, 25 (05) : 560 - 575
[47] Interval Estimation for Gumbel Distribution Using Climate Records
Asgharzadeh, A.
Abdi, M.
Nadarajah, S.
BULLETIN OF THE MALAYSIAN MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES SOCIETY, 2016, 39 (01) : 257 - 270
[48] Interval Estimation for Gumbel Distribution Using Climate Records
A. Asgharzadeh
M. Abdi
S. Nadarajah
Bulletin of the Malaysian Mathematical Sciences Society, 2016, 39 : 257 - 270
[49] Estimation and extrapolation of climate normals and climatic trends
Livezey, Robert E.
Vinnikov, Konstantin Y.
Timofeyeva, Marina M.
Tinker, Richard
van den Dool, Huug M.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY, 2007, 46 (11) : 1759 - 1776
[50] Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributions to twentieth century temperature change
Tett, SFB
Jones, GS
Stott, PA
Hill, DC
Mitchell, JFB
Allen, MR
Ingram, WJ
Johns, TC
Johnson, CE
Jones, A
Roberts, DL
Sexton, DMH
Woodage, MJ
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2002, 107 (D16) : 10 - 1

← 1 2 3 4 5 →