Technology, cost, economic performance of distributed photovoltaic industry in China

被引:72
|
作者
Zhao Xin-gang [1 ,2 ]
Wang Zhen [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
[2] North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
来源
关键词
Distributed PV; Technological progress; Industrial performance; Cost-benefit analysis; Levelized cost of energy (LCOE); GENERATION; POLICIES; POWER;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2019.04.061
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
As subsidies continue to fall, the technology and cost performance of distributed photovoltaic (PV) determines the progress of its grid parity. Based on the discussion of technology and cost, this paper analyzed the economic performance of China's distributed PV industry by utilizing the two indicators of levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and internal rate of return (IRR). The results show that: firstly, the current external environment is generally conducive to the development of distributed PV, but there are still some constraints. Secondly, with the decrease of unit investment cost, distributed PV can achieve the goal of parity before 2025. Thirdly, distributed PV projects in the three types of solar energy resources all have high IRR, and the economic performance is better for the projects with high proportion of spontaneous self-use. At the end of the paper, policy recommendations are offered as references for the government.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 64
页数:12
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