Price discovery in spot and futures markets: a reconsideration

被引:50
|
作者
Theissen, Erik [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Mannheim, Finance Area, D-68131 Mannheim, Germany
来源
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE | 2012年 / 18卷 / 10期
关键词
price discovery; futures markets; threshold error correction; common factor weights; STOCK INDEX FUTURES; ARBITRAGE; INFORMATION; CASH; COINTEGRATION; COMPONENTS; DYNAMICS; RETURNS; COSTS;
D O I
10.1080/1351847X.2011.601643
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We reconsider the issue of price discovery in spot and futures markets. We use a threshold error correction model to allow for arbitrage opportunities to have an impact on the return dynamics. We estimate the model using quote midpoints, and we modify the model to account for time-varying transaction costs. We find that (a) the futures market leads in the process of price discovery and (b) the presence of arbitrage opportunities has a strong impact on the dynamics of the price discovery process.
引用
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页码:969 / 987
页数:19
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