Options for support to agriculture and food security under climate change

被引:257
|
作者
Vermeulen, S. J. [1 ,2 ]
Aggarwal, P. K. [1 ,3 ]
Ainslie, A. [4 ]
Angelone, C. [5 ]
Campbell, B. M. [1 ,6 ]
Challinor, A. J. [1 ,7 ]
Hansen, J. W. [1 ,8 ]
Ingram, J. S. I. [9 ]
Jarvis, A. [1 ,10 ]
Kristjanson, P. [1 ,11 ]
Lau, C. [10 ]
Nelson, G. C. [1 ,12 ]
Thornton, P. K. [1 ,6 ]
Wollenberg, E. [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Copenhagen, Dept Agr & Ecol, Fac Life Sci, CGIAR ESSP,Program Climate Change Agr & Food Secu, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark
[2] Univ Copenhagen, Fac LIFE, DK-1870 Frederiksberg C, Denmark
[3] Int Water Management Inst, Pelawatte, Battaramulla, Sri Lanka
[4] Oxford Brookes Univ, Dept Geog & Anthropol, Oxford OX3 0BP, England
[5] Univ Vermont, Burlington, VT 05401 USA
[6] Int Livestock Res Inst, Nairobi 00100, Kenya
[7] Univ Leeds, Inst Climate & Atmospher Sci, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds 1SZ 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
[8] Columbia Univ, Earth Inst, Int Res Inst Climate & Soc, Palisades, NY 10964 USA
[9] Univ Oxford, Environm Change Unit, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
[10] Ctr Int Agr Trop, Cali, Colombia
[11] World Agroforestry Ctr, Nairobi 00100, Kenya
[12] Int Food Policy Res Inst, Washington, DC USA
关键词
Climate change; Food security; Agriculture; Livelihoods; Adaptation; Mitigation; GREENHOUSE-GAS MITIGATION; CARBON SEQUESTRATION; CROP; SUSTAINABILITY; YIELD; ADAPTATION; FORECASTS; POVERTY; IMPACT; LAND;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsci.2011.09.003
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Agriculture and food security are key sectors for intervention under climate change. Agricultural production is highly vulnerable even to 2C (low-end) predictions for global mean temperatures in 2100, with major implications for rural poverty and for both rural and urban food security. Agriculture also presents untapped opportunities for mitigation, given the large land area under crops and rangeland, and the additional mitigation potential of aquaculture. This paper presents a summary of current knowledge on options to support farmers, particularly smallholder farmers, in achieving food security through agriculture under climate change. Actions towards adaptation fall into two broad overlapping areas: (1) accelerated adaptation to progressive climate change over decadal time scales, for example integrated packages of technology, agronomy and policy options for farmers and food systems, and (2) better management of agricultural risks associated with increasing climate variability and extreme events, for example improved climate information services and safety nets. Maximization of agriculture's mitigation potential will require investments in technological innovation and agricultural intensification linked to increased efficiency of inputs, and creation of incentives and monitoring systems that are inclusive of smallholder farmers. Food systems faced with climate change need urgent, broad-based action in spite of uncertainties. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:136 / 144
页数:9
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