Volatility persistence in cryptocurrency markets under structural breaks

被引:47
|
作者
Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins [1 ]
Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko [2 ,3 ]
Madigu, Godfrey [4 ]
Romero-Rojo, Fatima [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Adelaide, Business Sch, Adelaide, SA, Australia
[2] Univ Navarra, Pamplona, Spain
[3] Univ Francisco Vitoria, Madrid, Spain
[4] Strathmore Univ, Nairobi, Kenya
关键词
Cryptocurrencies; Volatility; Long memory; Fractional integration; LONG-MEMORY; ADAPTIVE MARKET; TIME-SERIES; STOCK MARKETS; BITCOIN; MODEL; INEFFICIENCY; HYPOTHESIS; EFFICIENCY; VARIANCE;
D O I
10.1016/j.iref.2020.06.035
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper deals with the analysis of volatility persistence in 12 main cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Bitshare, Bytecoin, Dash, Ether, Litecoin, Monero, Nem, Ripple, Siacoin, Stellar and Tether) taking into account the possibility of structural breaks. Using fractional integration methods, the results indicate that both absolute and squared returns display long memory features, with orders of integration confirming the long memory hypothesis. However, after accounting for structural breaks, we find a reduction in the degree of persistence in the cryptocurrency market. The evi-dence of persistence in volatility imply that market participants who want to make gains across trading scales need to factor the persistence properties of cryptocurrencies in their valuation and forecasting models since that will help improve long-term volatility market forecasts and optimal hedging decisions.
引用
收藏
页码:680 / 691
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Interconnectedness of cryptocurrency markets: an intraday analysis of volatility spillovers based on realized volatility decomposition
    Ben Ameur, Hachmi
    Ftiti, Zied
    Louhichi, Wael
    ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2024, 341 (2-3) : 757 - 779
  • [42] Cryptocurrency uncertainty and volatility forecasting of precious metal futures markets
    Wei, Yu
    Wang, Yizhi
    Lucey, Brian M.
    Vigne, Samuel A.
    JOURNAL OF COMMODITY MARKETS, 2023, 29
  • [43] Asymmetric Volatility Models with Structural Breaks
    Rohan, Neelabh
    Ramanathan, T. V.
    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION, 2012, 41 (09) : 1519 - 1543
  • [44] Detecting structural breaks in realized volatility
    Song, Junmo
    Baek, Changryong
    COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS, 2019, 134 : 58 - 75
  • [45] Forecasting volatility in the biofuel feedstock markets in the presence of structural breaks: A comparison of alternative distribution functions
    Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich
    Poon, Wai Ching
    Al-Freedi, Ajab
    Heng, Zin Yau
    ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2018, 70 : 307 - 333
  • [46] Do structural breaks in volatility cause spurious volatility transmission?
    Caporin, Massimiliano
    Malik, Farooq
    JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2020, 55 : 60 - 82
  • [47] Volatility spillovers between oil prices and the stock market under structural breaks
    Ewing, Bradley T.
    Malik, Farooq
    GLOBAL FINANCE JOURNAL, 2016, 29 : 12 - 23
  • [48] Asymmetric volatility dynamics in cryptocurrency markets on multi-time scales
    Kakinaka, Shinji
    Umeno, Ken
    RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2022, 62
  • [49] Asymmetric volatility varies in different dry bulk freight rate markets under structure breaks
    Liu, Junlin
    Chen, Feier
    PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2018, 505 : 316 - 327
  • [50] Estimating volatility persistence under a Brexit-vote structural break
    Adesina, Tola
    FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 23 : 65 - 68