Point and areal validation of forecast precipitation fields

被引:36
|
作者
Yates, E [1 ]
Anquetin, S
Ducrocq, W
Creutin, JD
Ricard, D
Chancibault, K
机构
[1] Lab Etud Transferts Hydrol & Environm, Grenoble, France
[2] Ctr Natl Rech Meteorol, Meteo France, Toulouse, France
关键词
multiscale validation; mesoscale quantitative precipitation forecast;
D O I
10.1017/S1350482705001921
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Two high resolution quantitative precipitation forecasts with different levels of realism are evaluated. Classical scores (bias, correlation and scores based on contingency tables) confirm that the two forecasts do not have the same quality. A multi-scale extension of these scores has then been made to produce a validation for hydrological purposes. Rainfall fields are integrated over surfaces of various scales. For better stimulation, scores indicate an increase in the quality of the simulated precipitation for larger surfaces (typically more than 100 km(2)): the localisation errors are reduced by the aggregation. This helps to determine the usefulness of such forecasts for hydrological purposes.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 20
页数:20
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Seasonal Precipitation Forecast Over Morocco
    Tuel, A.
    Eltahir, E. A. B.
    WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (11) : 9118 - 9130
  • [42] Study and application on the optimal quantile forecast of precipitation in an ensemble forecast system
    Chen, Lianglyu
    Xia, Yu
    METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, 2024, 31 (01)
  • [43] Impact of the assimilation of lightning data on the precipitation forecast at different forecast ranges
    Federico, Stefano
    Petracca, Marco
    Panegrossi, Giulia
    Transerici, Claudio
    Dietrich, Stefano
    ADVANCES IN SCIENCE AND RESEARCH, 2017, 14 : 187 - 194
  • [44] Generation of ensemble precipitation forecast from single-valued quantitative precipitation forecast for hydrologic ensemble prediction
    Wu, Limin
    Seo, Dong-Jun
    Demargne, Julie
    Brown, James D.
    Cong, Shuzheng
    Schaake, John
    JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2011, 399 (3-4) : 281 - 298
  • [45] Spatial mode-based calibration (SMoC) of forecast precipitation fields from numerical weather prediction models
    Zhao, Pengcheng
    Wang, Quan J.
    Wu, Wenyan
    Yang, Qichun
    JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2022, 613
  • [46] Hydrologic validation of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) using river forecast model output for five headwater basins
    Reed, WB
    Olsen, BG
    Schmidt, JA
    SPECIAL SYMPOSIUM ON HYDROLOGY, 1998, : J56 - J59
  • [47] REGULATING THE UTILIZATION OF OIL-FIELDS IN AREAL FLOODING
    KOVALEV, VS
    ZHITOMIRSKII, VM
    NEFTYANOE KHOZYAISTVO, 1980, (09): : 32 - 34
  • [48] The use of random fields in the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem
    Pietrzak, Michal Bernard
    Ziemkiewicz, Bartosz
    11TH PROFESSOR ALEKSANDER ZELIAS INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODELLING AND FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC PHENOMENA, 2017, : 319 - 328
  • [49] METHODS FOR CALCULATING AREAL PRECIPITATION - APPLIED TO THE SUSA-CATCHMENT
    ALLERUP, P
    MADSEN, H
    RIIS, J
    NORDIC HYDROLOGY, 1982, 13 (05) : 263 - 278
  • [50] OPTIMAL ESTIMATORS OF MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION IN REGIONS OF OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCE
    CHUA, SH
    BRAS, RL
    JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 1982, 57 (1-2) : 23 - 48