Point and areal validation of forecast precipitation fields

被引:36
|
作者
Yates, E [1 ]
Anquetin, S
Ducrocq, W
Creutin, JD
Ricard, D
Chancibault, K
机构
[1] Lab Etud Transferts Hydrol & Environm, Grenoble, France
[2] Ctr Natl Rech Meteorol, Meteo France, Toulouse, France
关键词
multiscale validation; mesoscale quantitative precipitation forecast;
D O I
10.1017/S1350482705001921
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Two high resolution quantitative precipitation forecasts with different levels of realism are evaluated. Classical scores (bias, correlation and scores based on contingency tables) confirm that the two forecasts do not have the same quality. A multi-scale extension of these scores has then been made to produce a validation for hydrological purposes. Rainfall fields are integrated over surfaces of various scales. For better stimulation, scores indicate an increase in the quality of the simulated precipitation for larger surfaces (typically more than 100 km(2)): the localisation errors are reduced by the aggregation. This helps to determine the usefulness of such forecasts for hydrological purposes.
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页码:1 / 20
页数:20
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