Fiscal stimulus in expectations-driven liquidity traps

被引:3
|
作者
Lustenhouwer, Joep [1 ]
机构
[1] Heidelberg Univ, Fac Econ & Social Sci, Bergheimer Str 58, D-69115 Heidelberg, Germany
关键词
Bounded rationality; Fiscal policy; Liquidity trap; Heterogeneous expectations; HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS; MONETARY-POLICY; KEYNESIAN MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jebo.2020.07.003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
I study liquidity traps in a model where agents have heterogeneous expectations and finite planning horizons. Backward-looking agents base their expectations on past observations, while forward-looking agents have fully rational expectations. Liquidity traps that are fully or partly driven by expectations can arise due to pessimism of backward-looking agents. Only when planning horizons are finite, these liquidity traps can be of longer duration without ending up in a deflationary spiral. I further find that fiscal stimulus in the form of an increase in government spending or a cut in consumption taxes can be very effective in mitigating the liquidity trap. A feedback mechanism of heterogeneous expectations causes fiscal multipliers to be the largest when the majority of agents are backward-looking but there also is a considerable fraction of agents that are forward-looking. Labor tax cuts are always deflationary and are not an effective tool in a liquidity trap. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:661 / 687
页数:27
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