Where oil-rich nations are placing their bets

The combination of the gigantic American trade deficit and the price of oil at more than $125 per barrel (at press time) has created an attendant pool of financial liquidity among oil exporters in the Gulf. And this era of petrodollar surpluses is markedly different from the last one. In the 1970s, the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates outsourced the management of their petrodollars to American and UK bankers. This time around, they have adopted active investment and development strategies: They are investing heavily in large Western organizations as well as in emerging markets in Africa and India. They are spending lavishly at home to establish institutional infrastructures, to create free-trade zones for manufacturing and services, and to build recreational facilities that will attract businesses, skilled knowledge workers, and tourists. These moves are destined to have long-run effects not just on their local economies but also on regional and international trading, argue Harvard Business School's Abdelal, Khan, and Khanna. In fact, the authors say, the actions of the GCC states are pulling the Gulf closer than it has ever been to the center of the international financial system. In this article, the authors consider how oil exporters' new investment strategies and interests over the next decades will affect the economic landscape in the West, reshape nearby markets in the Middle East, and dramatically reconfigure the GCC home environment itself.