How can economic stochasticity promote or prevent corporate defaults?

被引:0
|
作者
Parnes, Dror [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ S Florida, Finance Dept, Tampa, FL USA
关键词
Competitive strategy; Business failures; Corporate finance; Disasters; Economic cycles; Financial risk; Perfect competition; Corporate defaults; Catastrophe; Stable equilibrium; General disequilibrium;
D O I
10.1108/03074351211201406
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to theoretically examine under what circumstances economic cycles advance or deter corporate defaults. Design/methodology/approach - The theoretical inferences are authenticated through Monte Carlo simulations. Findings - It is found that an ongoing catastrophe dominates other macroeconomic conditions and forces corporate failures. In contrast, when a catastrophe is unlikely, a constant economy permits no-defaults merely as an unstable equilibrium, yet a stochastic economy allows rival firms to remain operational within a stable general disequilibrium and under a wide range of economic conditions. Research limitations/implications - This topic can only be theoretically examined. Practical implications - The paper's findings assert that moderate economic variability typically discourages corporate defaults. These inferences convey high significance for regulators and policy makers. Originality/value - The paper shows that in a perfect competition, economic waves can change the hierarchy of competitive advantages among rival firms and could help distressed firms to emerge.
引用
收藏
页码:230 / 248
页数:19
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