The Impact of TPP and TTIP on the International Trade in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

被引:1
|
作者
Bi, Huimin [1 ]
Xiao, Hao [1 ]
Xiao, Mingzhi [2 ]
机构
[1] Hunan Univ, Sch Econ & Trade, Changsha 410079, Hunan, Peoples R China
[2] Fudan Univ, Sch Management, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 中国博士后科学基金;
关键词
CGE; TPP; TTIP; Free Trade Agreement;
D O I
10.1109/BIFE.2013.44
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Two emerging tracks of trade agreements-TransPacific Partnership (TPP) agreement and Trans-atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) agreement would have significant effects on the world economy. This paper designs four simulations generated by these tracks, which are TTP10, TPP16, TIPP and TPP+ TIPP, then uses Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model to evaluate the economic effects. The results show that most countries, such as Vietnam and Malaysia, would gain from the TPP and TIPP agreement while China's real GDP and export would fall. For Example, the output of textile industry would shrink the most significantly compared with that of other industries in China.
引用
收藏
页码:206 / 210
页数:5
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