Forecasting air quality considering the socio-economic development in Xingtai

被引:27
|
作者
Shi, Kaihe [1 ]
Wu, Lifeng [2 ]
机构
[1] China Univ Min & Technol, Coll Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
[2] Hebei Univ Engn, Sch Management Engn & Business, Handan 056038, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Air quality composite index; Secondary industry; Construction industry; Tertiary industry; Vehicle population; Resident population; ENVIRONMENTAL-QUALITY; ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT; HAZE POLLUTION; CHINA; PREDICTION; MODEL; CITY; POLICY; CITIES; LEVEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.scs.2020.102337
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
Air quality has deteriorated in many areas of China. To discuss the impact of the socio-economic factors on air quality and improve air quality in a small city, this article firstly uses the grey correlation analysis method to rank the impact of social-economic factors on Xingtai's air quality. Then, considering the different growth rates of the socio-economic factors, the grey multivariate convolution model is developed to predict the comprehensive air quality index in Xingtai. The results show that the industry has less adverse impact on air quality than the construction industry, and the tertiary industry has positive impact on air quality. The vehicle population and resident population all have adverse impact on air quality. According to the results, it is suggested to change the development direction from construction industry to the industry.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Forecasting indicators of socio-economic development of the region
    Ketova, Karolina V.
    Kasatkina, Yekaterina V.
    Nasridinova, Dayana D.
    [J]. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CHANGES-FACTS TRENDS FORECAST, 2013, 28 (04) : 104 - 120
  • [2] QUALITY OF EDUCATION AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
    CORREA, H
    [J]. COMPARATIVE EDUCATION REVIEW, 1964, 8 (01) : 11 - 16
  • [3] Foresight and forecasting of socio-economic development of rural territories
    Kovshov, Vitaliy
    Stovba, Eugene
    Lukyanova, Milyausha
    Zalilova, Zariya
    Sitdikova, Guzalia
    [J]. ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY, 2023,
  • [4] Imperatives of Forecasting of Socio-Economic Development of Russian Economy
    Fedotova, Gilyan V.
    Ilyasov, Ruslan K.
    Kovalenko, Oksana A.
    Tkachenko, Denis D.
    Malyutina, Tatiana D.
    [J]. FUTURE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM: DOWNFALL OR HARMONY, 2019, 57 : 908 - 921
  • [5] Regional socio-economic development on the basis of scenario forecasting method
    Malganova, Irina
    Zagladina, Helena
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ECONOMICS (ICOAE) 2015, 2015, 24 : 371 - 375
  • [6] FEATURES OF ASSESSMENT AND FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS IN UKRAINE
    Makarenko, Serhii
    Oliinyk, Nataliia
    Kazakova, Tetiana
    [J]. BALTIC JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 2020, 6 (05) : 129 - 136
  • [7] Spatial Econometric Modeling And Forecasting The Socio-Economic Development Of The Regiond
    Gerasimov, Alexey Nikolaevich
    Gromov, Yevgeny Ivanovich
    Sklyarova, Yuliya Mikhailovna
    Sklyarov, Igor Yurevich
    Ashkhotov, Anzor Mukhamedovich
    [J]. RESEARCH JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL BIOLOGICAL AND CHEMICAL SCIENCES, 2018, 9 (06): : 1852 - +
  • [8] A FRAMEWORK FOR FORECASTING SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHANGE
    DUNCAN, JW
    [J]. BATTELLE TECHNICAL REVIEW, 1966, 15 (09): : 9 - &
  • [9] Assessment of Indoor Air Quality at Various Socio-Economic Zones
    Garg, Abhinav
    Ghosh, Chirashree
    [J]. MAPAN-JOURNAL OF METROLOGY SOCIETY OF INDIA, 2022, 37 (01): : 15 - 23
  • [10] Assessment of Indoor Air Quality at Various Socio-Economic Zones
    Abhinav Garg
    Chirashree Ghosh
    [J]. MAPAN, 2022, 37 : 15 - 23