Regional socio-economic development on the basis of scenario forecasting method

被引：3
|
作者：
Malganova, Irina [1 ]
Zagladina, Helena [1 ]
机构：
[1] Kazan Volga Reg Fed Univ, Kremlevskaya 6-20, Kazan 420008, Russia
来源：
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ECONOMICS (ICOAE) 2015 | 2015年 / 24卷
关键词：
forecast; scenario; region; socio-economic development; quality of life;
D O I：
10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00683-8
中图分类号：
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号：
0202 ;
摘要：
This paper offers a comprehensive predictive study of socio-economic development of the region. The study is based on comparative assessment and analysis of the proposed forecast midterm scenarios. The grouping of indicators system formed by the type of impact on life quality of population in the region has been carried out to construct the forecast scenarios of development in ordinal scales. Analysis of forecast scenarios of Tatarstan territorial development for the period up to 2020 showed a moderately optimistic scenario as the most likely one. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码：371 / 375
页数：5
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