Demystifying the Mystery Room

被引:0
|
作者
Wenmackers, Sylvia [1 ]
机构
[1] Katholieke Univ Leuven, Inst Philosophy, Ctr Log & Philosophy Sci, Leuven, Belgium
来源
THOUGHT-A JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY | 2019年 / 8卷 / 02期
关键词
Bayesianism; de se beliefs; observer selection; probability; sample space; SLEEPING-BEAUTY;
D O I
10.1002/tht3.408
中图分类号
B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ;
摘要
The Mystery Room problem is a close variant of the Mystery Bag scenario (due to Titelbaum). It is argued here that dealing with this problem requires no revision of the Bayesian formalism, since there exists a solution to this problem in which indexicals or demonstratives play no essential role. The solution does require labels, which are internal to the probabilistic model. While there needs to be a connection between at least one label and one indexical or demonstrative, that connection is external to the probabilistic model that is used to determine the relevant conditional probability; hence, it does not complicate the update procedure.
引用
收藏
页码:86 / 95
页数:10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] DEMYSTIFYING THE CLOUD
    Prabha, V.
    2012 FOURTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCED COMPUTING (ICOAC), 2012,
  • [32] DEMYSTIFYING OD
    JANOV, JE
    TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT JOURNAL, 1983, 37 (08): : 6 - 6
  • [33] Demystifying Stablecoins
    Clark, Jeremy
    Demirag, Didem
    Moosavi, Seyedehmahsa
    COMMUNICATIONS OF THE ACM, 2020, 63 (07) : 40 - 46
  • [34] Demystifying Cannabis
    Piomelli, Daniele
    CANNABIS AND CANNABINOID RESEARCH, 2019, 4 (01) : 1 - 2
  • [35] The Thalidomide Mystery: A Digital Escape Room Using Genially and WhatsApp for High School Students
    de Souza, Renata Torres Mattos P.
    Kasseboehmer, Ana Claudia
    JOURNAL OF CHEMICAL EDUCATION, 2022, 99 (02) : 1132 - 1139
  • [36] 'Nous avons une reconstitution a reconstituer': Re-enacting the Mystery of the Yellow Room
    Rees, Kate
    ROMANCE STUDIES, 2017, 35 (04) : 238 - 247
  • [37] DEMYSTIFYING EMERGENCE
    Yates, David
    ERGO-AN OPEN ACCESS JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY, 2016, 3 : 809 - 841
  • [38] Demystifying MapReduce
    Garcia, Christopher
    COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS: EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR EVOLVING SYSTEMS: SOCIO-TECHNICAL, CYBER AND BIG DATA, 2013, 20 : 484 - 489
  • [39] Demystifying priming
    Loersch, Chris
    Payne, B. Keith
    CURRENT OPINION IN PSYCHOLOGY, 2016, 12 : 32 - 36
  • [40] DEMYSTIFYING MALFORMATIONS
    RORKE, LB
    AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ROENTGENOLOGY, 1990, 155 (04) : 865 - 865