A comprehensive probabilistic analysis model of oil pipelines network based on Bayesian network

被引：0
|
作者：
Zhang, C. [1 ]
Qin, T. X. [1 ]
Jiang, B. [2 ]
Huang, C. [3 ]
机构：
[1] China Natl Inst Standardizat, Inst Publ Safety Standardizat, 4 Zhichun Rd, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
[2] Sichuan Univ, Sch Publ Adm, 24 South Sect 1,Yihuan Rd, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan, Peoples R China
[3] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Engn Phys, 1 Tsinghuayuan Rd, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
来源：
3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCES IN ENERGY RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT ENGINEERING | 2018年 / 113卷
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
RISK ANALYSIS; FAILURE;
D O I：
10.1088/1755-1315/113/1/012083
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
Oil pipelines network is one of the most important facilities of energy transportation. But oil pipelines network accident may result in serious disasters. Some analysis models for these accidents have been established mainly based on three methods, including event-tree, accident simulation and Bayesian network. Among these methods, Bayesian network is suitable for probabilistic analysis. But not all the important influencing factors are considered and the deployment rule of the factors has not been established. This paper proposed a probabilistic analysis model of oil pipelines network based on Bayesian network. Most of the important influencing factors, including the key environment condition and emergency response are considered in this model. Moreover, the paper also introduces a deployment rule for these factors. The model can be used in probabilistic analysis and sensitive analysis of oil pipelines network accident.
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收藏
页数：6
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