Non-homogeneous volatility correlations in the bivariate multifractal model

被引:7
|
作者
Liu, Ruipeng [1 ]
Lux, Thomas [2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Deakin Univ, Sch Accounting Econ & Finance, Melbourne, Vic 3125, Australia
[2] Univ Kiel, Dept Econ, D-24118 Kiel, Germany
[3] Inst World Econ, D-24105 Kiel, Germany
[4] Univ Jaume 1, Banco Espana Chair Computat Econ, Castellon de La Plana, Spain
来源
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE | 2015年 / 21卷 / 12期
关键词
long memory; multifractal models; simulation-based inference; value-at-risk; C11; C13; G15; ASSET RETURNS; STOCK-MARKET; LONG-MEMORY; FORECASTING VOLATILITY; FRACTALITY; TESTS;
D O I
10.1080/1351847X.2014.897960
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
In this paper, we consider an extension of the recently proposed bivariate Markov-switching multifractal model of Calvet, Fisher, and Thompson [2006. Volatility Comovement: A Multifrequency Approach. Journal of Econometrics 131: 179-215]. In particular, we allow correlations between volatility components to be non-homogeneous with two different parameters governing the volatility correlations at high and low frequencies. Specification tests confirm the added explanatory value of this specification. In order to explore its practical performance, we apply the model for computing value-at-risk statistics for different classes of financial assets and compare the results with the baseline, homogeneous bivariate multifractal model and the bivariate DCC-GARCH of Engle [2002. Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 20 (3): 339-350]. As it turns out, the multifractal model with heterogeneous volatility correlations provides more reliable results than both the homogeneous benchmark and the DCC-GARCH model.
引用
收藏
页码:971 / 991
页数:21
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