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An update of US temperature trends
被引:30
|作者:
Lu, QQ
Lund, R
Seymour, L
[1
]
机构:
[1] Univ Georgia, Dept Stat, Athens, GA 30602 USA
[2] Mississippi State Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Mississippi State, MS 39762 USA
[3] Clemson Univ, Dept Math Sci, Clemson, SC USA
[4] Univ Georgia, Dept Stat, Athens, GA 30602 USA
关键词:
D O I:
10.1175/JCLI3557.1
中图分类号:
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号:
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要:
This note updates the temperature trend study of the contiguous 48 United States by Lund et al. for data observed during the 4-yr period 1997-2000. A parsimonious changepoint parameterization is now used, and the methods for handling missing data are improved. The number of stations with useable data has now increased from 359 to 969, thereby improving the accuracy of the reported spatial patterns in the trends. The average record length of the 969 stations is now 103 yr, with the longest record starting in 1812 and the shortest in 1926. The methodological improvements and additional 4 yr of data produce slightly smaller trend estimate standard errors. Warming is found in the Northeast, West, and northern Midwest, with slight cooling in the Southeast; overall, the trends here suggest more warming than those of the Lund et al. study.
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页码:4906 / 4914
页数:9
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