Wind and Photovoltaic Large-Scale Regional Models for Hourly Production Evaluation

This work presents two large-scale regional models used for the evaluation of normalized power output from wind turbines and photovoltaic power plants on a European regional scale. The models give an estimate of renewable production on a regional scale with 1 h resolution, starting from a mesoscale meteorological data input and taking in account the characteristics of different plants technologies and spatial distribution. An evaluation of the hourly forecasted energy production on a regional scale would be very valuable for the transmission system operators when making the long-term planning of the transmission system, especially regarding the cross-border power flows. The tuning of these regional models is done using historical meteorological data acquired on a per-country basis and using publicly available data of installed capacity.