Economic theory for the new millennium (2003)

被引:18
|
作者
Forrester, Jay W.
机构
[1] Massachusetts Institute of Technology, New York
关键词
D O I
10.1002/sdr.1490
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Traditional mainstream academic economics, by trying to be a science, has failed to answer major questions about real-life economic behavior. Economics should become a systems profession, such as management, engineering, and medicine. By closely observing the structures and policies in business and government, simulation models can be constructed to answer questions about business cycles, causes of major depressions, inflation, monetary policy, and the validity of descriptive economic theories. A system dynamics model, as a general theory of economic behavior, now endogenously generates business cycles, Kuznets cycles, the economic long wave, and growth. A model is a theory of the behavior that it generates. The economic model provides the theory, thus far missing from economics, for the Great Depression of the 1930s and how such episodes can recur 5070years apart. Simpler system dynamics models can become the vehicle for a relevant and exciting pre-college economics education.
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页码:26 / 41
页数:16
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