Asymptotic behaviour of population-size-dependent branching processes in Markovian random environments

被引:13
|
作者
Wang, HX [1 ]
Fang, DF
机构
[1] Shanghai Univ, Dept Math, Shanghai 201800, Peoples R China
[2] Yueyang Normal Coll, Dept Math, Yueyang 414000, Peoples R China
关键词
Markov chains in random environments; branching models; extinction probabilities;
D O I
10.1017/S002190020001737X
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A population-size-dependent branching process {Z(n)} is considered where the population's evolution is controlled by a Markovian environment process {xi(n)}. For this model, let m(k,theta) and sigma(k,theta)(2) be the mean and the variance respectively of the offspring distribution when the population size is k and a environment theta is given. Let B = {omega : Z(n)(omega) = 0 for some n} and q = P(B). The asymptotic behaviour of lim(n) Z(n) and lim(n) Z(n)/Pi(i=0)(n-1)m(xi n) is studied in the case where sup(theta) /m(k,theta) - m(theta)/ --> 0 for some real numbers {m(theta)} such that inf(theta) m(theta) > 1. When the environmental sequence {xi(n)} is a irreducible positive recurrent Markov chain (particularly, when its state space is finite), certain extinction (q = 1) and non-certain extinction (q < 1) are studied.
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页码:611 / 619
页数:9
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