model selection;
post-selection inference;
coverage probability;
local asymptotic;
goodness-of-fit;
CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS;
SELECTION;
INFERENCE;
PERFORMANCE;
D O I:
10.1007/s11336-018-9624-y
中图分类号:
O1 [数学];
学科分类号:
0701 ;
070101 ;
摘要:
Model selection from a set of candidate models plays an important role in many structural equation modelling applications. However, traditional model selection methods introduce extra randomness that is not accounted for by post-model selection inference. In the current study, we propose a model averaging technique within the frequentist statistical framework. Instead of selecting an optimal model, the contributions of all candidate models are acknowledged. Valid confidence intervals and a 2 test statistic are proposed. A simulation study shows that the proposed method is able to produce a robust mean-squared error, a better coverage probability, and a better goodness-of-fit test compared to model selection. It is an interesting compromise between model selection and the full model.
机构:
Univ Cambridge, Sch Clin Med, MRC Biostat Unit, Cambridge CB2 0SR, EnglandUniv Cambridge, Sch Clin Med, MRC Biostat Unit, Cambridge CB2 0SR, England
Zhu, Rong
Zhang, Xinyu
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Beijing Acad Artificial Intelligence, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaUniv Cambridge, Sch Clin Med, MRC Biostat Unit, Cambridge CB2 0SR, England
Zhang, Xinyu
Wand, Alan T. K.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Management Sci & Sch Data Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaUniv Cambridge, Sch Clin Med, MRC Biostat Unit, Cambridge CB2 0SR, England
Wand, Alan T. K.
Zou, Guohua
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Capital Normal Univ, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaUniv Cambridge, Sch Clin Med, MRC Biostat Unit, Cambridge CB2 0SR, England
机构:
City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Management Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaCity Univ Hong Kong, Dept Management Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Wan, Alan T. K.
Zhang, Xinyu
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaCity Univ Hong Kong, Dept Management Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Zhang, Xinyu
Wang, Shouyang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaCity Univ Hong Kong, Dept Management Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chen, Xinjie
Zou, Guohua
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Zou, Guohua
Zhang, Xinyu
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
机构:
Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R China
Sun, Zhimeng
Sun, Liuquan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Inst Appl Math, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaCent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R China
Sun, Liuquan
Lu, Xiaoling
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Renmin Univ China, Sch Stat, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R China
Lu, Xiaoling
Zhu, Ji
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Michigan, Dept Stat, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USACent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R China
Zhu, Ji
Li, Yongzhuang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Beijing, Peoples R China