[1] Univ Bristol, Sch Social & Community Med, MRC Ctr Causal Anal Translat Epidemiol, Bristol BS8 2BN, Avon, England
[2] Univ Glasgow, Inst Cardiovasc & Med Sci, BHF Glasgow Cardiovasc Res Ctr, Glasgow, Lanark, Scotland
[3] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Fac Epidemiol & Populat Hlth, Dept Noncommunicable Dis Epidemiol, London WC1, England
[4] UCL, Dept Epidemiol & Publ Hlth, London, England