Power System Short-Term Load Combined Forecasting Approach Based on Sectional Simulation Forecasting Method

被引:0
|
作者
Li Jiarui [1 ]
Wang Chengmin [2 ]
Lian Hongbo [1 ]
Yu Haobin [1 ]
机构
[1] SMEPC, Songjiang Power Supply Co, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[2] SJTU, Elect Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China
关键词
load forecasting; daily load; section; characteristic curve;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
Power system short term load forecasting is very sensitive to the disturbance factors in the day load, which could not obtain the desired optimal results. In order to solve such problems, this paper proposes sectional simulation forecasting method. This paper takes a certain area as an example and demonstrates sectional simulation forecasting method by analyzing the characteristics from daily load of this area, and compare sectional simulation forecasting method with conventional method for short term load forecasting effect. It's easy to see, sectional simulation forecasting method, by contrast, is obviously superior to the conventional method of short-term load forecasting, and meets the power system load forecasting personnel's demands much better.
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页数:5
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