MODEL-BASED TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPPING: POTENTIAL AND CHALLENGES AHEAD

This paper explores the application of Model-Based Systems Engineering principles to technology planning and roadmapping. Technology roadmapping is a methodology that is widely used in industry to plan and explore interdependencies between research and development, products, markets, and other strategic factors. This paper describes model-based technology roadmaps as a quantitative implementation of the roadmapping methodology in order to encode, explore, and generate insights from structured knowledge and expert elicitation. The paper shows the application of model-based technology roadmapping on a publicly available NASA roadmap, discussing strengths and challenges of the proposed approach. The paper provides an analysis of model-based approaches to technology roadmapping, and provides recommendations on the evaluation of complexity in implementing model-based roadmapping, identifying avenues for further development of the approach.