The string prediction models as invariants of time series in the forex market

被引:17
|
作者
Pincak, R. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Slovak Acad Sci, Inst Expt Phys, Kosice 04353, Slovakia
[2] Joint Inst Nucl Res, Bogoliubov Lab Theoret Phys, Dubna 141980, Moscow Region, Russia
关键词
Finance forex market; Nonlinear statistics; String theory; Trading strategy; Financial forecasting;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2013.07.048
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
In this paper we apply a new approach of string theory to the real financial market. The models are constructed with an idea of prediction models based on the string invariants (PMBSI). The performance of PMBSI is compared to support vector machines (SVM) and artificial neural networks (ANN) on an artificial and a financial time series. A brief overview of the results and analysis is given. The first model is based on the correlation function as invariant and the second one is an application based on the deviations from the closed string/pattern form (PMBCS). We found the difference between these two approaches. The first model cannot predict the behavior of the forex market with good efficiency in comparison with the second one which is, in addition, able to make relevant profit per year. The presented string models could be useful for portfolio creation and financial risk management in the banking sector as well as for a nonlinear statistical approach to data optimization. (C) 2013 Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:6414 / 6426
页数:13
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