Effective degrees of freedom: a flawed metaphor

被引:23
|
作者
Janson, Lucas [1 ]
Fithian, William [1 ]
Hastie, Trevor J. [1 ]
机构
[1] Stanford Univ, Dept Stat, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
Model complexity; Number of parameters; Optimism; PREDICTION RULE; ERROR RATE;
D O I
10.1093/biomet/asv019
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
To most applied statisticians, a fitting procedure's degrees of freedom is synonymous with its model complexity, or its capacity for overfitting to data. In particular, the degrees of freedom is often used to parameterize the bias-variance trade-off in model selection. We argue that, on the contrary, model complexity and degrees of freedom may correspond very poorly. We exhibit and theoretically explore various fitting procedures for which the degrees of freedom is not monotonic in the model complexity parameter and can exceed the total dimension of the ambient space even in very simple settings. We show that the degrees of freedom for any nonconvex projection method can be unbounded.
引用
收藏
页码:479 / 485
页数:7
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