Firms' investment decisions in response to demand and price uncertainty

被引:28
|
作者
Fuss, Catherine [2 ,3 ]
Vermeulen, Philip [1 ]
机构
[1] European Cent Bank, D-60311 Frankfurt, Germany
[2] Natl Bank Belgium, B-1000 Brussels, Belgium
[3] Univ Libre Bruxelles, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium
关键词
D O I
10.1080/00036840600959909
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We investigate the effect of demand and price uncertainty on firms' planned and realized investment from a panel of manufacturing firms. Uncertainty measures are derived from firms' own expectations about demand and prices and firm's sales. We find that demand uncertainty at the time of planning depresses planned and subsequent realized investment. Firms do not revise their plans due to demand uncertainty at the time of spending, suggesting that reducing demand uncertainty will only have lagged effects on investment. We do not find any effect of price uncertainty. Our results are consistent with the behaviour of monopolistic firms with irreversible capital.
引用
收藏
页码:2337 / 2351
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [11] Investment and demand uncertainty
    Guiso, L
    Parigi, G
    [J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1999, 114 (01): : 185 - 227
  • [12] ROLE OF PRICE IN INVESTMENT DECISIONS
    GABOR, A
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOCIAL ECONOMICS, 1979, 6 (05) : 322 - 329
  • [13] UNCERTAINTY, LIKELIHOODS AND INVESTMENT DECISIONS
    ANGELL, JW
    [J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1960, 74 (01): : 1 - 28
  • [14] PROBLEM OF UNCERTAINTY IN INVESTMENT DECISIONS
    JACOB, H
    [J]. ZEITSCHRIFT FUR BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFT, 1967, 37 (03): : 153 - 187
  • [15] UNCERTAINTY, INFORMATION AND INVESTMENT DECISIONS
    SMITH, RGE
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1971, 26 (01): : 67 - 82
  • [16] Leverage, uncertainty and investment decisions
    Kenc, Turalay
    Driver, Ciaran
    [J]. ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2020, 190
  • [17] Investment decisions under uncertainty
    Sen, Sunanda
    [J]. JOURNAL OF POST KEYNESIAN ECONOMICS, 2020, 43 (02) : 267 - 280
  • [18] Does oil price uncertainty affect renewable energy firms' investment? Evidence from listed firms in China
    Cao, Hong
    Guo, Litian
    Zhang, Lin
    [J]. FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 33
  • [19] Dynamic Pricing for Demand Response Considering Market Price Uncertainty
    Id, Mohammad Ali Fotouhi Ghazvini
    Soares, Joao
    Morais, Hugo
    Castro, Rui
    Vale, Zita
    [J]. ENERGIES, 2017, 10 (09)
  • [20] Optimal ordering and production decisions for remanufacturing firms with carbon options under demand uncertainty
    Xiaoyu Ma
    Weida Chen
    [J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2023, 30 : 34378 - 34393