A Novel Prediction Model for Sales Forecasting Based on Grey System

被引：12

作者：

Wei, Jingmin ^{[1
]}

Zhu, Jia ^{[1
]}

Huang, Changqin ^{[1
]}

Tang, Yong ^{[1
]}

Lin, Xueqin ^{[1
]}

Mao, Chengjie ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] South China Normal Univ, Sch Comp Sci, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China

来源：

2016 IEEE 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SERVICE-ORIENTED COMPUTING AND APPLICATIONS (SOCA) | 2016年

关键词：

Sales Forecasting; Grey System; Adaptive Prediction; TRENDS;

D O I：

10.1109/SOCA.2016.13

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

Sales forecasting is an important aspect for sales management. It will be great if we can make sales forecasting as an intelligent service in an information system. Based on the grey system theory, we analyzed the disadvantages of grey prediction model GM(1, 1) in this article. Considering the actual characteristics of the prediction series, a model of adaptive prediction with small samples is established with the background value and offset value correction. We use the data of a Tmall shop as an illustrating example for sales forecasting. The results indicate that this model can achieve good prediction accuracy, which proves the validity of the model.

引用

页码：10 / 15

页数：6

共 50 条

[31] On novel grey forecasting model based on non-homogeneous index sequence
Xie, Nai-Ming
Liu, Si-Feng
Yang, Ying-Jie
Yuan, Chao-Qing
[J]. APPLIED MATHEMATICAL MODELLING, 2013, 37 (07) : 5059 - 5068
[32] Forecasting renewable energy generation with a novel flexible nonlinear multivariable discrete grey prediction model
Ding, Yuanping
Dang, Yaoguo
[J]. ENERGY, 2023, 277
[33] A novel hybrid grey system forecasting model based on seasonal fluctuation characteristics for electricity consumption in primary industry
Li, Cheng
Qi, Qi
[J]. ENERGY, 2024, 287
[34] Research on Forecasting Demand of Science and Technology Talents in Guangxi Based on Grey Prediction Model
Wei, Feng
Wang, Yaqi
[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2019 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON FINANCIAL INNOVATION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (ICFIED 2019), 2019, 76 : 309 - 314
[35] A genetic-algorithm-based remnant grey prediction model for energy demand forecasting
Hu, Yi-Chung
[J]. PLOS ONE, 2017, 12 (10):
[36] LSTM-based Sales Forecasting Model
Hong, Jun-Ki
[J]. KSII TRANSACTIONS ON INTERNET AND INFORMATION SYSTEMS, 2021, 15 (04): : 1232 - 1245
[37] Prediction of silkworm cocoon yield in China based on Grey-Markov forecasting model
Huang, Lingxia
Jin, Peihua
He, Yong
Lou, Chengfu
Huang, Min
Chen, Mingang
[J]. MICAI 2006: ADVANCES IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, PROCEEDINGS, 2006, 4293 : 505 - +
[38] Grey forecasting model refining in deformation prediction based on semi-parametric regression
Gao, Ning
Cui, Ximin
[J]. PROGRESS IN INDUSTRIAL AND CIVIL ENGINEERING, PTS. 1-5, 2012, 204-208 : 2731 - 2735
[39] Forecasting the Internet of Things Market by Using the Grey Prediction Model Based Forecast Method
Huang, Chi-Yo
Kuo, Chu-Chi
Kao, Yu-Sheng
Lu, Hsueh-Hsin
Chiang, Po-Yu
[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2014 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT AND TRADE COOPERATION, 2014, 107 : 337 - 345
[40] A Novel Prediction Error-Based Power Forecasting Scheme for Real PV System Using PVUSA Model: A Grey Box-Based Neural Network Approach
Shah, Aamer Abbas
Ahmed, Khubab
Han, Xueshan
Saleem, Adil
[J]. IEEE ACCESS, 2021, 9 : 87196 - 87206

← 1 2 3 4 5 →