A COMPARISON OF SAME SLOPE AND EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING FORECASTING MODELS

被引：0
|
作者：
Pasic, Mugdim
Bijelonja, Izet
Bajric, Hadis
机构：
来源：
ANNALS OF DAAAM FOR 2008 & PROCEEDINGS OF THE 19TH INTERNATIONAL DAAAM SYMPOSIUM: INTELLIGENT MANUFACTURING & AUTOMATION: FOCUS ON NEXT GENERATION OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS AND SOLUTIONS | 2008年
关键词：
forecasting; model; evaluation; smoothing; exponential;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号：
0812 ;
摘要：
In this paper the same slope forecasting model is tested on real time series and compared with corresponding performances of fifteen exponential smoothing models. Tests are conducted using time series with different components, while standard deviation is used to measure the suitability of the model. Nonlinear programming is used for the estimation of parameters of the same slope forecasting model and exponential smoothing forecasting models. Developed model shows very good forecast results when trend component dominates.
引用
收藏
页码：1031 / 1032
页数：2
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