Synchronization and diversity in business cycles: a network analysis of the European Union

被引:18
|
作者
Gomez, David Matesanz [1 ]
Ferrari, Hernan J. [2 ,3 ,4 ]
Torgler, Benno [5 ,6 ]
Ortega, Guillermo J. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oviedo, Appl Econ Dept, Avda Cristo S-N, E-33006 Oviedo, Spain
[2] Univ Nacl Quilmes, Sci & Technol Dept, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[3] Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[4] Univ Austral, CONICET, Fac Ingn, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[5] Queensland Univ Technol, QuBE, Sch Econ & Finance, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
[6] Ctr Res Econ Management & Arts, Zurich, Switzerland
关键词
Business cycle synchronization; European countries; euro zone; complex systems; network topology; minimum spanning tree; E32; C45; F45; HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURE; AREA; CONVERGENCE; GROWTH;
D O I
10.1080/00036846.2016.1210765
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this article, we use a correlation matrix and its internal networks to analyse business cycle synchronization across Europe since 2000. This methodology allows us to summarize individual country interactions and co-movements while also capturing the existing heterogeneity of connectivity within the European economic system. Our results indicate that synchronization of the euro zone countries remained stable from 1999 until the current financial crisis, after which co-movements increased sharply and synchronization rose to the highest in the time sample. By endogenously identifying clusters of countries with close connections in their business cycle, we also refute the commonly accepted notion of identifiable core and peripheral euro zone countries.
引用
收藏
页码:972 / 986
页数:15
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