Inexact stochastic dynamic programming method and application to water resources management in Shandong China under uncertainty

被引：17
|
作者：
Gu, J. J. [1 ]
Guo, P. [2 ,3 ]
Huang, G. H. [4 ,5 ]
机构：
[1] Beijing Normal Univ, Inst Ecol Simulat & Urban Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
[2] China Agr Univ, Ctr Agr Water Res China, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
[3] Univ No British Columbia, Environm Sci & Engn Program, Prince George, BC V2N 4Z9, Canada
[4] Univ Regina, Environm Syst Engn Program, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada
[5] North China Elect Power Univ, Energy & Environm Res Ctr, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
来源：
STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT | 2013年 / 27卷 / 05期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金; 国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划);
关键词：
Dynamic; Joint probability; Multistage; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Water resources; SYSTEM; MODEL; OPTIMIZATION; FORECASTS; RISK;
D O I：
10.1007/s00477-012-0657-y
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
In this study, an interval parameter multistage joint-probability programming (IMJP) approach has been developed to deal with water resources allocation under uncertainty. The IMJP can be used not only to deal with uncertainties in terms of joint-probability and intervals, but also to examine the risk of violating joint probabilistic constraints in the context of multistage. The proposed model can handle the economic expenditure caused by regional water shortage and flood control. The model can also reflect the related dynamic changes in the multi-stage cases and the system safety under uncertainty. The developed method is applied to a case study of water resources allocation in Shandong, China, under multistage, multi-reservoir and multi-industry. The violating reservoir constraints are addressed in terms of joint-probability. Different risk levels of constraint lead to different planning. The obtained results can help water resources managers to identify desired system designs under various economic, environment and system reliability scenarios.
引用
收藏
页码：1207 / 1219
页数：13
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] An inexact two-stage stochastic programming model for water resources management in Nansihu Lake Basin, China
    Xie, Y. L.
    Huang, G. H.
    Li, W.
    Li, J. B.
    Li, Y. F.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT, 2013, 127 : 188 - 205
  • [22] An Extended Two-stage Stochastic Programming Approach for Water Resources Management under Uncertainty
    Nematian, J.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATICS, 2016, 27 (02) : 72 - 84
  • [23] Inexact quadratic joint-probabilistic programming for water quality management under uncertainty in the Xiangxi River, China
    Hu, Ming
    Huang, Guo H.
    Sun, Wei
    Li, Yongping P.
    [J]. STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT, 2013, 27 (05) : 1115 - 1132
  • [24] Inexact quadratic joint-probabilistic programming for water quality management under uncertainty in the Xiangxi River, China
    Ming Hu
    Guo H. Huang
    Wei Sun
    Yongping P. Li
    [J]. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2013, 27 : 1115 - 1132
  • [25] Using Stochastic Dynamic Programming to Support Water Resources Management in the Ziya River Basin, China
    Davidsen, Claus
    Pereira-Cardenal, Silvio J.
    Liu, Suxia
    Mo, Xingguo
    Rosbjerg, Dan
    Bauer-Gottwein, Peter
    [J]. JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT, 2015, 141 (07)
  • [26] An Inventory-Theory-Based Inexact Multistage Stochastic Programming Model for Water Resources Management
    Suo, M. Q.
    Li, Y. P.
    Huang, G. H.
    Fan, Y. R.
    Li, Z.
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING, 2013, 2013
  • [27] An inexact two-stage fuzzy-stochastic programming model for water resources management
    Lu, H. W.
    Huang, G. H.
    Zeng, G. M.
    Maqsood, I.
    He, L.
    [J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2008, 22 (08) : 991 - 1016
  • [28] An Inexact Two-stage Fuzzy-stochastic Programming Model for Water Resources Management
    H. W. Lu
    G. H. Huang
    G. M. Zeng
    I. Maqsood
    L. He
    [J]. Water Resources Management, 2008, 22 : 991 - 1016
  • [29] An Inexact Two-Stage Allocation Model for Water Resources Management Under Uncertainty
    Li, C. Y.
    Zhang, L.
    [J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2015, 29 (06) : 1823 - 1841
  • [30] An Inexact Two-Stage Allocation Model for Water Resources Management Under Uncertainty
    C. Y. Li
    L. Zhang
    [J]. Water Resources Management, 2015, 29 : 1823 - 1841
12345