Habit Formation in Voting: Evidence from Rainy Elections

被引：87
|
作者：
Fujiwara, Thomas [1 ]
Meng, Kyle [2 ,3 ]
Vogl, Tom [4 ,5 ]
机构：
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, 357 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Bren Sch, 4416 Bren Hall, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
[3] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Econ, 4416 Bren Hall, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
[4] Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch, 363 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[5] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, 363 Wallace Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
来源：
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-APPLIED ECONOMICS | 2016年 / 8卷 / 04期
关键词：
VOTER TURNOUT; POLITICAL-PARTICIPATION; FIELD EXPERIMENT; NEWSPAPER ENTRY; BEHAVIOR; WEATHER; PERSISTENCE; INCENTIVES; MIGRATION; ALTRUISM;
D O I：
10.1257/app.20140533
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
We estimate habit formation in voting-the effect of past on current turnout-by exploiting transitory voting cost shocks. Using county-level data on US presidential elections from 1952-2012, we find that rainfall on current and past election days reduces voter turnout. Our estimates imply that a 1-point decrease in past turnout lowers current turnout by 0.6-1.0 points. Further analyses suggest that habit formation operates by reinforcing the direct consumption value of voting and that our estimates may be amplified by social spillovers.
引用
收藏
页码：160 / 188
页数：29
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Saving and habit formation: evidence from Dutch panel data
    Rob Alessie
    Federica Teppa
    [J]. Empirical Economics, 2010, 38 : 385 - 407
  • [42] Strategic voting and effective representation thresholds: Evidence from three Spanish general elections
    Garcia Vinuela, Enrique
    Artes, Joaquin
    [J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL RESEARCH, 2012, 51 (03) : 289 - 315
  • [43] Evidence on the importance of spatial voting models in presidential nominations and elections
    Lawrence W. Kenny
    Babak Lotfinia
    [J]. Public Choice, 2005, 123 : 439 - 462
  • [44] Coordinated voting in sequential and simultaneous elections: some experimental evidence
    Dasgupta, Sugato
    Randazzo, Kirk A.
    Sheehan, Reginald S.
    Williams, Kenneth C.
    [J]. EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS, 2008, 11 (04) : 315 - 335
  • [45] Coordinated voting in sequential and simultaneous elections: some experimental evidence
    Sugato Dasgupta
    Kirk A. Randazzo
    Reginald S. Sheehan
    Kenneth C. Williams
    [J]. Experimental Economics, 2008, 11 : 315 - 335
  • [46] Evidence on the importance of spatial voting models in presidential nominations and elections
    Kenny, LW
    Lotfinia, B
    [J]. PUBLIC CHOICE, 2005, 123 (3-4) : 439 - 462
  • [47] Abstaining from voting in union certification elections
    Hepburn, CG
    Loughlin, CA
    Barling, J
    [J]. FUTURE OF TRADE UNIONISM: INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON EMERGING UNION STRUCTURES, 1997, : 249 - 261
  • [48] Biases in elections with well-informed voters: Evidence from public voting for football awards
    Kopkin, Nolan
    Roberts, Andrew
    [J]. SOCIAL SCIENCE QUARTERLY, 2022, 103 (07) : 1551 - 1571
  • [49] How COVID-19 affects voting for incumbents: Evidence from local elections in France
    Morisi, Davide
    Clolery, Heloise
    King, Guillaume Kon Kam
    Schaub, Max
    [J]. PLOS ONE, 2024, 19 (03):
  • [50] Do voting technologies discriminate across the urban hierarchy? Evidence from two presidential elections
    Warf, Barney
    [J]. URBAN GEOGRAPHY, 2006, 27 (07) : 664 - 677
12345