Bridging the gap between science and decision making

被引:86
|
作者
von Winterfeldt, Detlof [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ So Calif, Viterbi Sch Engn, Daniel J Epstein Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
[2] Univ So Calif, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
关键词
decision analysis; risk communication; science communication; risk analysis;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.1213532110
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
All decisions, whether they are personal, public, or business-related, are based on the decision maker's beliefs and values. Science can and should help decision makers by shaping their beliefs. Unfortunately, science is not easily accessible to decision makers, and scientists often do not understand decision makers' information needs. This article presents a framework for bridging the gap between science and decision making and illustrates it with two examples. The first example is a personal health decision. It shows how a formal representation of the beliefs and values can reflect scientific inputs by a physician to combine with the values held by the decision maker to inform a medical choice. The second example is a public policy decision about managing a potential environmental hazard. It illustrates how controversial beliefs can be reflected as uncertainties and informed by science to make better decisions. Both examples use decision analysis to bridge science and decisions. The conclusions suggest that this can be a helpful process that requires skills in both science and decision making.
引用
收藏
页码:14055 / 14061
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Bridging the gap between sport science and coaching
    Swalgin, KL
    KINESIOLOGY NEW PERSPECTIVES, PROCEEDINGS BOOK, 2002, : 199 - 201
  • [23] Bridging the gap between science and the public interest
    Jordan, S
    CALIFORNIA AND THE WORLD OCEAN '97 - TAKING A LOOK AT CALIFORNIA'S OCEAN RESOURCES: AN AGENDA FOR THE FUTURE, VOLS 1 AND 2, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS, 1998, : 1150 - 1150
  • [24] Bridging the gap between researchers, conservation planners, and decision makers to improve species conservation decision-making
    Ferraz, Katia Maria Paschoaletto Micchi de Barros
    Morato, Ronaldo Goncalves
    Bovo, Alex Augusto Abreu
    da Costa, Carolina Ortiz Rocha
    Ribeiro, Yuri Geraldo G.
    de Paula, Rogerio Cunha
    Desbiez, Arnaud Leonard Jean
    Angelieri, Cintia Silva Camila
    Traylor-Holzer, Kathy
    CONSERVATION SCIENCE AND PRACTICE, 2021, 3 (02)
  • [25] Bridging the Gap between Business and Technology in Strategic Decision-Making for Cyber Security Management
    Valja, Margus
    Lagerstrom, Robert
    Korman, Matus
    Franke, Ulrik
    PORTLAND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MANAGEMENT OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY (PICMET 2016): TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT FOR SOCIAL INNOVATION, 2016, : 32 - 42
  • [28] Decision Making for HIV Prevention and Treatment Scale up: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Practice
    Alistar, Sabina S.
    Brandeau, Margaret L.
    MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, 2012, 32 (01) : 105 - 117
  • [29] Bridging the gap between business decision and process modeling
    Neiger, D
    Churilov, L
    INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND ORGANIZATIONS: TRENDS, ISSUES, CHALLENGES AND SOLUTIONS, VOLS 1 AND 2, 2003, : 444 - 445
  • [30] Bridging the gap between climate scientists and decision makers
    Griggs, D. J.
    Kestin, T. S.
    CLIMATE RESEARCH, 2011, 47 (1-2) : 139 - 144