Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk

被引:603
|
作者
Radeloff, Volker C. [1 ]
Helmers, David P. [1 ]
Kramer, H. Anu [1 ]
Mockrin, Miranda H. [2 ]
Alexandre, Patricia M. [1 ,7 ]
Bar-Massada, Avi [3 ]
Butsic, Van [4 ]
Hawbaker, Todd J. [5 ]
Martinuzzi, Sebastian [1 ]
Syphard, Alexandra D. [6 ]
Stewart, Susan I. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Wisconsin Madison, SILVIS Lab, Dept Forest & Wildlife Ecol, Madison, WI 53706 USA
[2] US Forest Serv, Northern Res Stn, USDA, Baltimore, MD 21228 USA
[3] Univ Haifa, Dept Biol & Environm, IL-36006 Qiryat Tivon, Israel
[4] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Environm Sci Policy & Management, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[5] US Geol Survey, Geosci & Environm Change Sci Ctr, Box 25046, Denver, CO 80225 USA
[6] Conservat Biol Inst, Corvallis, OR 97333 USA
[7] Univ Lisbon, Sch Agr, Forest Res Ctr, P-1349017 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
wildfires; housing growth; sprawl; development; fragmentation; HOUSING GROWTH; HUMAN SETTLEMENT; UNITED-STATES; FIRE; CLIMATE; AREAS; CALIFORNIA; PATTERNS;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.1718850115
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The wildland-urban interface (WUI) is the area where houses and wildland vegetation meet or intermingle, and where wildfire problems are most pronounced. Here we report that the WUI in the United States grew rapidly from 1990 to 2010 in terms of both number of new houses (from 30.8 to 43.4 million; 41% growth) and land area (from 581,000 to 770,000 km(2); 33% growth), making it the fastest-growing land use type in the conterminous United States. The vast majority of new WUI areas were the result of new housing (97%), not related to an increase in wildland vegetation. Within the perimeter of recent wildfires (1990-2015), there were 286,000 houses in 2010, compared with 177,000 in 1990. Furthermore, WUI growth often results in more wildfire ignitions, putting more lives and houses at risk. Wildfire problems will not abate if recent housing growth trends continue.
引用
收藏
页码:3314 / 3319
页数:6
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